Pakistan enter the Lahore fixture with two wins from two matches, while England are searching for their first victory of the tri-series. Here is the form guide, pitch assessment, probable XI and match prediction ahead of the fourth ODI.
Pakistan have the stronger recent record heading into the Pakistan vs England 4th ODI prediction for 2026, but England’s batting display against Sri Lanka makes this a more complicated contest than the points table might suggest. Pakistan beat England by 87 runs in their previous meeting, with Arafat Minhas contributing 59 runs and taking six wickets. England subsequently posted 429/4 against Sri Lanka, only to lose by two wickets after a remarkable chase.
The match moves to Gaddafi Stadium in Lahore, a different venue from the Rawalpindi ground used for the first three fixtures. That makes the surface, toss and confirmed team combinations important final checks. Our pre-match assessment leans towards Pakistan because of their more complete performances so far, while recognising that England have the firepower to change the game quickly.
Match status: This is a pre-match preview. Update the article if the toss takes place or the match begins before publication.
Pakistan vs England 4th ODI: Match Details
| Match | Pakistan vs England, 4th ODI |
|---|---|
| Tournament | Pakistan, England and Sri Lanka ODI Tri-Series 2026/27 |
| Date | Sunday, October 25, 2026 |
| Venue | Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore, Pakistan |
| Scheduled start | 1:30 PM IST / 1:00 PM Pakistan time |
| Pakistan captain | Shaheen Shah Afridi |
| England captain | Harry Brook |
| Toss | Update after official toss announcement |
| Confirmed XIs | Check official team sheets before publishing final selections |
Recent Form and Series Context
Pakistan: Two wins and a strong all-round performance
Pakistan began the tri-series with a 37-run win over Sri Lanka, then defeated England by 87 runs. The second result was particularly encouraging because the batting lineup recovered from early setbacks and finished with 302/9. Hasan Nawaz scored 79, Arafat Minhas added 59 and Faheem Ashraf supplied a brisk 39.
The bigger talking point was Minhas’s all-round contribution. After scoring a half-century, he took 6/40 as England were dismissed for 215. Pakistan will want the same middle-over discipline in Lahore, although expecting another six-wicket haul from one bowler would be unrealistic.
England: Huge batting potential, unfinished business
England’s first meeting with Pakistan exposed a problem against spin and middle-over pressure. After a promising start, their innings lost momentum and wickets in clusters. Harry Brook fell for five in that match, while Minhas dismantled the middle and lower order.
England responded with 429/4 against Sri Lanka. Brook made 202 from 116 balls, Joe Root scored 69 and Will Jacks finished unbeaten on 66 from just 30 deliveries. Yet Sri Lanka chased the target with two wickets remaining. England have demonstrated their scoring ceiling, but they still need a more effective bowling performance and better control at crucial moments.
Pakistan vs England Head-to-Head Record
England have historically held the advantage in overall men’s ODI meetings, according to published head-to-head records. However, historical totals include different eras, squads and playing conditions. They should not outweigh current form or the evidence from the teams’ most recent meeting.
The most relevant recent data point is Pakistan’s 87-run victory on October 20. It showed that Pakistan could build a competitive total despite losing early wickets and then apply pressure through spin. England’s subsequent 429-run innings shows why that result alone cannot settle the prediction.
Editorial note: Insert a verified, up-to-date head-to-head total only after checking a reliable score database. Do not mix ODI-only figures with all-format records.
Gaddafi Stadium Pitch Report
Gaddafi Stadium is the new venue for the second half of this tri-series after the first three matches in Rawalpindi. A published venue analysis lists the average first-innings ODI score at approximately 257, with teams batting first holding a modest historical edge. Those figures provide context rather than a guarantee of how this particular pitch will play.
A total around 280 to 300 could be competitive if the surface is good for stroke-making, but the match-day strip and pace of the outfield will matter. Pakistan may look to use their spin options through the middle overs, while England need to avoid allowing the required rate to rise after the powerplay.
- Batting: Set batters may be able to score freely once they have settled.
- Spin: Middle-over control could be important, particularly if batters attack before getting established.
- Seam bowling: New-ball movement and disciplined lengths may offer opportunities early.
- Toss: Use the actual pitch and current conditions rather than assuming that chasing is automatically better.
Lahore Weather Forecast for PAK vs ENG
The available match-day forecast points to warm, mostly dry conditions in Lahore, with temperatures around 28–29°C during the afternoon and a low reported chance of rain. Forecasts can change, so check a current local update before the toss.
If conditions remain dry, a full 50-over contest is the expectation. Heat may make workload management relevant for fast bowlers, but it should not be treated as evidence that either team will necessarily struggle. There is also no basis for making dew the deciding factor without checking the evening conditions and the actual start time.
Pakistan vs England Probable Playing XI
These are provisional combinations based on the published squads and recent team selections. They are not confirmed playing XIs. Recheck official team sheets after the toss and amend the list if required.
Pakistan probable XI
Fakhar Zaman, Saim Ayub, Babar Azam, Saad Baig (wicketkeeper), Salman Ali Agha, Hasan Nawaz, Arafat Minhas, Faheem Ashraf, Shaheen Shah Afridi (captain), Naseem Shah, Haris Rauf.
Pakistan’s selection question is how they balance their spin resources and pace attack. If the team makes a change to its bowling combination, the final prediction should reflect the actual XI rather than this provisional list.
England probable XI
Tom Banton, Ben Duckett, Joe Root, Harry Brook (captain), Jordan Cox (wicketkeeper), Will Jacks, Sam Curran, Jamie Overton, Gus Atkinson, Adil Rashid, Josh Tongue.
England have additional squad options, including Liam Dawson and Mason Crane. The final combination may depend on the surface and the balance between spin and pace. Do not label any player injured or unavailable without a current, reliable confirmation.
Key Players to Watch
Arafat Minhas — Pakistan
Minhas is the standout matchup after taking 6/40 and scoring 59 in the previous game against England. His left-arm spin could again be important if the surface offers grip, but England’s response will depend on how well their batters rotate strike and avoid attacking him from a position of uncertainty.
Hasan Nawaz — Pakistan
Nawaz’s 79 in the previous meeting helped Pakistan recover and build a substantial total. His role is especially valuable if early wickets fall: he can steady the innings before accelerating against the older ball.
Harry Brook — England
Brook’s 202 against Sri Lanka demonstrated his ability to dominate once set. Pakistan will try to challenge him early and prevent him from controlling the innings. If Brook bats deep, England’s scoring potential rises significantly.
Joe Root — England
Root’s role is to provide stability around England’s aggressive batters. His ability to rotate strike against spin and build partnerships could help England avoid the middle-order collapse they suffered in the previous meeting with Pakistan.
Three Matchups That Could Decide the Game
- Arafat Minhas vs England’s middle order: England need a clearer plan against Minhas, especially after his six-wicket haul in the last meeting. Strike rotation and selective aggression will matter more than trying to hit every delivery.
- Pakistan’s top order vs England’s new ball: Pakistan lost early wickets in the previous match before recovering. England need to make that early pressure count instead of allowing another middle-order rebuild.
- Harry Brook and Will Jacks vs Pakistan’s bowling plans: Their recent scoring shows the danger of allowing England to settle. Pakistan will need disciplined lengths, smart field settings and wickets at intervals rather than relying only on containment.
Win Probability and Projected Score
The following figures are an editorial estimate for this preview, not official odds or a statistical model. They should be revisited after the toss and confirmation of both XIs.
| Prediction factor | Assessment |
|---|---|
| Pakistan win estimate | 55% |
| England win estimate | 45% |
| Projected first-innings range | 270–300 runs |
| Competitive target if batting first | Around 285 or more, depending on the pitch |
| Main uncertainty | Confirmed XI, pitch behaviour and England’s response to spin |
The estimates lean towards Pakistan because they have won both matches so far and already defeated England convincingly. England’s 429/4 against Sri Lanka keeps the contest close: if Brook, Root or Jacks produce another major innings, the balance could shift quickly.
Pakistan vs England 4th ODI Final Prediction
Pakistan are the marginal pick for this match. Their recent results have been more complete, and the previous meeting showed how effectively they can use spin to break up England’s batting. Minhas, Hasan Nawaz and the experienced pace attack give Pakistan several ways to influence the game.
England remain a serious threat. Brook’s double century and Jacks’s rapid scoring against Sri Lanka showed that their batting can overwhelm a bowling attack when partnerships develop. Their key task is to convert that firepower into better control across both innings.
Our pre-toss call: Pakistan to win a competitive match. This is a close, conditional prediction—not a certainty. Reassess it if the pitch looks substantially different from expectations, key players are missing, or the toss and confirmed XIs materially change the matchup.
This preview is for cricket analysis and entertainment. It is not a guarantee of the result or financial advice.
Frequently Asked Questions
Pakistan are our marginal pre-match pick based on their two tournament wins and their 87-run victory over England earlier in the series. England’s recent 429-run innings against Sri Lanka means the result is far from certain.
The match is scheduled for October 25, 2026, at 1:30 PM IST, which is 1:00 PM in Pakistan, at Gaddafi Stadium in Lahore. Check the official match centre for any updates.
Published venue data suggests an average first-innings ODI score around 257, although the actual match-day surface may differ. A total in the 280–300 range could be competitive if conditions favour stroke-making.
Arafat Minhas was Player of the Match after scoring 59 and taking 6/40 in Pakistan’s 87-run victory on October 20, 2026.
Our provisional projected first-innings range is 270–300 runs. The actual par score will depend on the pitch, the toss and how well the teams handle the middle overs.
No. The listed XIs are provisional combinations. Use the official team sheets after the toss to confirm the players selected for the match.
Related Cricket Coverage on 99ExCh
Explore more match previews and cricket updates on 99ExCh:
- Latest Cricket News and Match Predictions
- Cricket Match Prediction Archive — browse the archive for published previews.
- Pakistan Cricket News and Match Reports — use the archive to locate relevant coverage.
Replace archive links with direct article URLs when the relevant Pakistan vs England and tri-series articles are published. Do not leave several identical archive links if more specific pages are available.
Sources and Editorial Notes
- ICC official match centre: Pakistan vs England, 4th ODI
- Pakistan Cricket Board: Pakistan vs England, 2nd match scorecard
- PCB report: Arafat Minhas’ all-round performance against England
- Cricbuzz scorecard: England vs Sri Lanka, 3rd match
- CREX: Gaddafi Stadium pitch report and Lahore weather preview
Probable XIs, projected scores and win estimates are editorial assessments, not official announcements. Recheck the match centre, team sheets, pitch information and forecast before making a material update.
